The unexpected Hanging Paradox is a
paradox about a person's expectations about the timing of a future event.
This paradox is a situation of mathematic rules applied in wrong situations in
real life; Let me explain you:
A judge condemns a prisoner on death row to
be hanged next week by the warden, but before leaving, he makes sure the
prisoner understands that it is going to be unexpected, so they will not tell
him the exact date.
After thinking about how to escape from there, he
remember what the warden said: You will be hanged in an unexpected date for
you; therefore, the prisoner open his eyes and starts jumping, screaming and
celebrating it: He knows he is not going to die.
After reading this, you might think either he is
crazy or he has a way to escape, but non of them are right. Let's think about
it: The prisoner knows he is going to die be in an unexpected date next week.
Then, in case he is not hanged on thursday, then he cannot be hanged on friday,
knowing that it would not be unexpected (only 1 day left of the week, obviously
he will die on friday because there are no more days in the week, but it would
not be unexpected, so it cannot be). Once we have eliminated Friday, same
happens with thursday. If on wednesday he was not hanged, he will be on
thursday, knowing that there are no more days left. The prisoners applies this
hypothesis for the rest of the days of the week, and this makes him reach the
conclusion that he will not die next week for sure. Notwithstanding, he is
hanged on wednesday at 6 am.
Supposedly,
even though the warden's statement to the prisoner was paradoxical, it ended up
being true anyway. However, if the prisoner is no better at making inferences
than he is in the problem, the warden's statement is true and not paradoxical;
the prisoner was executed at noon within the week, and was surprised. This just
shows that you can mess with the minds of people who can't make inferences
properly. Nothing new there. But in case we follow logic and apply strictly the
warden´s statement, and the fact that our prisoner in this case is is able to
do all this reasoning, then his statement would be false and paradoxical.
Therefore,
in conclusion, depending on the prisoner, I would or would not be able to
"escape from the death".
This paradox give us another way of seeing math,
in this case probability and way we have to predict future events:
Mathematical-rules or statements applied in wrong situations give us results
not possible in real life.
WOooo! super original post, did not think about math in that way... hahaha its awesome how mathematics work depending on the different situations :)
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